Weather in the NEWS

Winter approaches

Snowflake

Betting on a White Christmas?

At this time of year, the thoughts of some turn to the prospect of making a little money by gambling on the prospects of snow falling on Christmas Day. The chances are not in favour of the gambler! The chances of snow falling increases as you go further north (with odds decreasing as well!) but some bets will depend on snow falling on the roof of the London Weather Centre at some time during Christmas Day. The chances of this are not high - there have only been about 5 Christmases this century when snow has actually fallen on Christmas Day. Snow on the ground does not count - it must be falling!

Last year (1998), a Glasgow businesswoman placed 10,000 50p bets with William Hill, betting at odds of around 10 to 1 that there would be a white Christmas. She intended to give the betting slips to her customers - who each stood to win around £5 if snow did fall.

This year (1999) snow did indeed fall in London. A few snow flakes were all that were required to trigger payouts - and the London area had more than just a few flakes. By late morning there was a thin covering on the ground. Bookmakers were not happy as the odds against snow falling had lengthened quite considerable resulting in high payouts for even small stakes. But most punters had taken notice of forecasts before Christmas and had not staked their money on the falling white stuff. For those few that did it was a Merry Christmas indeed!

Seasons of the Sun.....

As Christmas approaches, the northern hemisphere moves towards its shortest day and the 'official' start of winter on December 21st - the Winter Solstice. In the north, days are short and the winter nights are long. Temperatures fall as the weak sunlight attempts to warm the northern landmasses. Southern latitudes experience their summer - with hot dry conditions across Australia and continuous hours of daylight in the far south of Antarctica.

Satellite images for 21st December 1998 - the Winter Solstice

GMS: 30th November 1998
The December solstice: click image for original GMS whole disk image
The diagram shows the winter conditions in the northern hemisphere - and is based on a real satellite image taken by the GMS orbiter above the Pacific Ocean on November 30th 1998 (to see the original image click the diagram above).

The plane of the Earth's orbit around the Sun lies at an angle of 23½° to the rotational axis of the Earth (the imaginary line - North/South - around which the Earth spins). As the Earth moves around the Sun in its year long orbit, the Sun appears to drift northwards during our summer and south during our winter. On December 21st, the Sun reaches its maximum southerly position. On this day, the Sun will appear to be directly overhead to anyone standing along a line around the world at 23½°S - the Tropic of Capricorn. Each day after this the Sun will seem to be overhead a little further north, on March 22nd it will appear overhead to anyone on the Equator then on June 21st it will appear overhead at 23½°N - the Tropic of Cancer.

Print out the larger image of the Earth - measure the angle between the North/South line and the line of the shadow across the globe.....

Is it nearly 23½°?
 
In the far south of Antarctica (at the South Pole), the Sun will never drop below the horizon during December and January. There will be 24 hour daylight with the Sun travelling right around the sky - dropping towards the southern horizon during what passes for night! Look at the diagram - as the Earth rotates, the area below the lower blue line will never experience total darkness.

In the far north, in the north of Norway, Greenland, Siberia etc, the complete opposite will be true. In December, the Sun is so low in the sky that it never climbs above the southern horizon - even at mid-day. A dim grey light is all that changes night into day - and if weather conditions are poor then there is likely to be no difference at all between night and day.

In the north, the low altitude of the Sun means that heat energy arriving at the Earth is spread over a large area - and the heating effect is low. Northern temperatures fall - and by mid-winter there will be ice and snow, maybe even across parts of the UK!

In the south, the strong solar radiation means higher temperatures and the heat and dust of summer across Australia and southern Africa. Christmas in the southern hemisphere is not ice and snow - it is summer and their Christmas carols are different!

Check out these two versions of an old favourite - one from the cold winter of the north and one from the hot dry Christmas summer of Australia.

Jingle Bells!


score
Northern version

Dashing through the snow,
in a one horse open sleigh,
o'er the fields we go,
laughing all the way.

Bells on bobtail ring,
making spirits bright,
what fun it is to ride and sing
a sleighing song tonight!

Jingle bells,
jingle bells,
jingle all the way!
Oh what fun it is to ride
in a one horse open sleigh!

Jingle bells,
jingle bells,
jingle all the way!
Oh what fun it is to ride in a one horse open sleigh!

Southern (Australian) version

Dashing through the bush
in a rusty Holden ute,
Kicking up the dust
Esky in the boot

Kelpie by my side
singing Christmas songs,
It's summer time and I am in my
singlet, shorts and thongs.

Jingle bells
jingle bells
jingle all the way,
Christmas in Australia
on a scorching summer's day

Jingle bells
jingle bells
Christmas time is beaut
Oh what fun it is to ride in a dusty Holden ute.

December infra red band image - DTOT
Meteosat 7 IR band image: Winter solstice - December 1999
This infra red band satellite image gives a good impression of the temperature range across the planet. Higher temperatures are indicated by darker colours - black is hot, white is cold. In the southern lands, temperatures are high at this time of year and the land shows up as strong black. In the north, temperatures are much lower and the land is a dull grey - Europe is almost invisible!. The coastline of Southern Africa is very clear, the dense black of the landmass shows than South West Africa is hot - and much hotter than the cold offshore ocean current welling up from the Antarctic. If you look closely you will be able to make out the slightly cooler waters of the Red Sea - colder (and thus a lighter grey) than the surrounding desert lands of Egypt and Saudi Arabia.

On a cold winter night, you may even be able to see that the land is colder than the sea - the sea will appear darker than the land. Check the thermal band IR images available from the Dundee Weather server. Under clear winter skies, the land loses heat energy by radiation and cools rapidly. There is so much water in the sea that it loses heat much less quickly - so its temperature remains higher. Check out the sea conditions at the automatic buoys around the UK - compare air and sea surface temperatures.


Earlier news pages are also available:

1999

  • November 1999 - Cyclone devastation in India
  • October 1999 - Hurricanes sweep across Caribbean and SE USA
  • September 1999 - Total eclipse over Europe - hurricane season gets under way
  • August 1999 - Brilliant sunny summer - and flash floods kill 19 in Switzerland
  • July 1999 - Summer across the UK
  • June 1999 - the Summer solstice (longest day)
  • May 1999 - Warm weather in the UK - tornadoes in the USA
  • April 1999 - Weather difficulties for high-tech weapons in the Balkans
  • March 1999 - Spring arrives - and alpine avalanches
  • February 1999 - Flooding across southern England
  • January 1999 - Storms lashed both northern and southern hemispheres

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Page update: December 1999

Online weather resources: St. Vincent College